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Posts Tagged ‘Scott Brown’

VÄLJARE | Varför gillar inte de konservativa gräsrötterna Mitt Romney? Antagligen för att man fortfarande letar efter Ronald Reagans arvtagare.

Men enligt Peter J. Boyer i Newsweek behöver ”the pichfork crowd” inte oroa sig allt för mycket.

Romney har redan anammat många av deras ståndpunkter. Han har därför inte speciellt mycket svängrum att backa om han nu väl tar sig till Vita huset.

Och skulle han backa kommer de republikanska väljarna straffa honom när det blir dags för omval. Det var vad som hände när president George H. W. Bush, trots löften om motsatsen, höjde skatten.

Men redan nu finns det likheter mellan Bush och Romney som skulle kunna förklarar den avvaktande hållningen från kärnväljare. Boyer skriver:

His problem is the same as the problem that George Herbert Walker Bush had,” says John Sununu, a Romney supporter who served as the elder Bush’s White House chief of staff. “They come from a genteel segment of society that doesn’t instinctively have the capacity of putting sharp edges on the words they use. Conservatives like sharp rhetoric and prefer to support someone with sharper elbows.”

Romney’s campaign has no particular strategy for winning over the pitchfork crowd (“Just win,” says a senior strategist. “When you win, they all love you”), beyond his positions on issues, which are at least as conservative as those of his remaining competitors. The restive base is still not sold, but that very fact may contain the seeds of Romney’s ultimate vindication on the right.

[…]

What he has to sell to the right is the idea that he is a conservative by disposition, by sensibility. Before he had any discernible politics, he devoted himself to a faith that extols family values, and the line of work he chose, for all its failings, was a full-immersion experience in free enterprise. When he took up politics, he accommodated himself enough to the realities of Massachusetts to win election (see Scott Brown’s current campaign). But he makes a plausible case that he governed as conservatively as is possible in the Bay State. He tried, vainly, to finesse the abortion issue, declaring himself a defender of Roe v. Wade, but he also recanted his pro-choice stance convincingly enough (vetoing an -embryonic-stem-cell bill) to earn the commendation of the leader of Massachusetts Citizens for Life. Sununu makes the argument that Romney governed as conservatively in liberal Massachusetts as Reagan did in liberal California (where Reagan signed a law liberalizing abortion restrictions and presided over the doubling of the state budget). “In an almost paradoxical way, Reagan, pre-governor, was more conservative than when he was a governor, and Mitt Romney as a governor was more conservative than he campaigned,” Sununu says.

Övrigt: Tidskriftsomslaget (amerikanska upplagan) och Peter J. Boyers artikel ”Mitt Romney’s struggle to convince conservatives” är från Newsweek den 6 februari 2012.

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KONFLIKT: För bara ett år sedan ansågs det republikanska partiet vara uträknat. Idag kommer man troligen att skörda stora valframgångar i november.

Uppryckningen har åstadkommits genom att tillämpa vad en kampanjstrateg i partiet kallar ”tactical small-ball”. Tim Dickinson, på tidskriften Rolling Stone, har tittat närmare på partiets strategi.

The GOP game is as simple as it is hypocritical. First: Reject every Democratic proposal — including some of the exact same initiatives that Republicans championed under Bush — while branding the consensus-seeking Obama as a radical leftist. Second: Stoke populist fury over exploding deficits, even though they’re the fallout of eight catastrophic years of Republican rule. (President Bush inherited a projected surplus of $5.6 trillion and left behind a forecasted deficit of $3 trillion.) Three: Promise to fix what’s wrong with Washington — despite having waged an all-out war to make government appear as broken as possible. […]

To challenge vulnerable Democrats, the GOP plans to co-opt the campaign strategy that ushered Obama into the White House. First, Republicans are actively recruiting younger candidates in the Scott Brown mold, men and women in their 30s and 40s who can create what [republikanska strategen Frank] Luntz calls ”a sense of a new beginning for the GOP.” Second, in a throwback to 1994, the party is drafting a new Contract With America, one that echoes the calls for greater government transparency that Obama championed. According to one strategist familiar with the manifesto, the document is designed to help cast the party — tarnished by years of blatant corruption and reckless spending — as above the backroom deals that marked both the stimulus plan and health care reform.

”The GOP is in better shape now than it was in 1994 at this time,” says Luntz. ”That’s what’s incredible about what has happened. The best presidential communicator in a generation — and Obama is better than Clinton — has allowed his opponents to get back up, brush themselves off and provide an alternative vision. The Republican Party is like Jason in Friday the 13th — you can’t kill it. It will not die.”

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VAL: En okänd republikan tog hem segern i det liberala Massachusetts. Med klar marginal vann Scott Brown (52 %) över den segertippade Martha Coakley (47 %).

För demokraterna var det speciellt pinsamt eftersom valet gällde vakansen i Senaten efter demokraten Edward M. Kennedy. För många amerikanare var Kennedy den okrönta ledaren för den liberala falangen inom det demokratiska partiet.

Valet får stora konsekvenser för president Barack Obama eftersom demokraterna nu har tappat den marginal på 60 röster som krävs i Senaten för att kunna hindra att republikanerna stoppar deras förslag genom att filibustra.

The New York Times skriver idag;

The election left Democrats in Congress scrambling to salvage a bill overhauling the nation’s health care system, which the late Mr. Kennedy had called “the cause of my life.” Mr. Brown has vowed to oppose the bill (…)

Beyond the bill, the election of a man supported by the Tea Party movement also represented an unexpected reproach by many voters to President Obama after his first year in office, and struck fear into the hearts of Democratic lawmakers, who are already worried about their prospects in the midterm elections later this year. (…)

Mr. Brown ran strongest in the suburbs of Boston, where the independent voters who make up a majority in Massachusetts turned out in large numbers. Ms. Coakley did best in urban areas, winning overwhelmingly in Boston and running ahead in Springfield, Worcester, Fall River and New Bedford, but her margins were not large enough to carry her to victory.

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