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Posts Tagged ‘Republikaner’

JON HUNTSMAN och Mitt Romney anses ha störst chans gentemot Barack Obama. Inte konstigt att de då inte har mycket gott att säga om varandra.

De två har en förvånansvärt likartad bakgrund. Båda är rika, båda är f.d. guvernörer, båda har haft framgångar inom näringslivet och båda tillhör mormonkyrkan. Men man skall inte förledas tro att de har mycket gemensamt politiskt.

John Heilemann, i tidskriften New York, skriver:

“The Republican nominee is going to need a track record that speaks to job creation and economic expansion,” says Huntsman, who before heading to Beijing was the governor of Utah, where he was credited with just such achievements. “Romney, good man that he is, didn’t have that record in Massachusetts.” Is Huntsman among those who consider Romney a phony and a flip-flopper? “Look at the record. You know, you show up once, you’re a liberal; you show up the next time, you’re a conservative; you show up the next time, you’re a moderate. It shows a fair amount of recasting and reinventing at a time when people are looking for authenticity.” And Huntsman is more authentically conservative than Romney? “Right. Worked for Reagan when somebody was criticizing him. Pro-life when somebody wasn’t. Pro–­Second Amendment when somebody wasn’t. You can draw your own conclusions.”

Neither Romney nor his aides have yet to utter a harsh word about Huntsman—on the record, that is. But privately, their scorn for him is withering and total. Huntsman’s bid, they say, is a vanity candidacy, with zero logic or rationale behind it. He has no base in the GOP and absolutely no hope of building one; as an Obama appointee seeking to lead a virulently anti-Obama party, he is terminally toxic.

[…]

“They came to prominence as governors in a way that is interesting because they’ve switched personas,” says BYU political-­science professor Quin Monson. “Huntsman was a very conservative governor and then moderated as he got ready to leave office and was looking toward the national stage. Romney did the exact ­opposite: To shake the mold from Massachusetts, he had to portray himself as more conservative.”

Övrigt: Tidskriftsomslaget är New York den 8-15 augusti 2011.

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RON PAUL ignoreras av media. Och nu är det inte bara Paul själv som säger det. Bilden bekräftas av en undersökning.

Paul har bra opinionssiffror och en andraplats i Iowas ”straw poll” och en förstaplats i ett liknande arrangemang anordnat av unga republikaner i New Hampshire.

Men när media väl skriver om Paul handlar det mest om medias brist på bevakning av hans kampanj.

Eller som Jason Linkins, på The Huffington Post, lite lustigt beskriver det:

[W]e noticed that Ron Paul finished second in the Ames Straw Poll, attracting enough voters to qualify as a personal best, barely missing taking the top spot from Michele Bachmann. On Sunday, we noticed that no one had noticed this. By Monday, we noticed that other people had noticed that no one had noticed this. We also noticed that there were other people who noticed this, but figured Paul deserved no notice. By week’s end, we noticed that Paul’s ”fifteen minutes” had been declared ”over.” But those minutes were spent debating whether he should have had them in the first place!

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REPUBLIKANERNA och demokraterna var båda snabba att skylla på varandra när Standard & Poor nedvärderade USA:s kreditvärdighet för första gången någonsin.

Invånarna i tio kongressdistrikt från Kalifornien till New York kommer nu att få automatiska telefonsamtal s.k. ”robocalls” från National Republican Congressional Committee.

Här är ett exempel på hur det kan låta:

Hello, I’m calling from the National Republican Congressional Committee, 320 First Street SE, Washington, DC 20003, 202.479.7000, with an important recorded message about your Congressman Jason Altmire. Jason Altmire continues to oppose a Balanced Budget Amendment that would force Washington to live within its means. Jason Altmire and his fellow Democrats’ addiction to big government spending has led to a downgrade of America’s credit rating and a dramatic loss in the global markets that could force you to pay more for everyday expenses. While Jason Altmire keeps standing in the way of real fiscal reform, middle-class families in Pennsylvania could now see a loss in retirement savings while mortgage rates, car payments and student loans could become even more expensive. Call Congressman Jason Altmire at 202-225-2565 and tell him to stop his reckless borrowing spree. Paid for by the National Republican Congressional Committee. Not authorized by any candidate or candidate’s committee.

Se mer: Jämför med de automatiserade telefonsamtal som Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee godkände med anledning av avtalet mellan partierna om skuldtaket.

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MED HJÄLP AV negativa kampanjmetoder tänker Barack Obama krossa Mitt Romney. Hans karraktär och bakgrund inom näringslivet skall smutskastas.

Romney är idag den republikanska presidentkandidat som ser ut att ha strörst chans gentemot Obama.

Han är den republikan som troligtvis får lättast att locka över independents d.v.s. väljare som inte ser sig som primärt demokrater eller republikaner. Denna väljargrupp kan ofta avgöra ett val i USA.

Enligt Ben Smith och Jonathan Martin på Politico har högsta ledningen inom Obamas kampanjorganisation studerat strategin som president George W. Bush använde sig av 2004. Det året lyckades Bush – trots låga opinionssiffror – besegra John Kerry genom att tidigt definiera honom i negativa termer.

“Unless things change and Obama can run on accomplishments, he will have to kill Romney,” said a prominent Democratic srategist aligned with the White House.

The onslaught would have two aspects. The first is personal: Obama’s reelection campaign will portray the public Romney as inauthentic, unprincipled and, in a word used repeatedly by Obama’s advisers in about a dozen interviews, “weird.”

[…]

The second aspect of the campaign to define Romney is his record as CEO of Bain Capital, a venture capital firm that was responsible for both creating and eliminating jobs. Obama officials intend to frame Romney as the very picture of greed in the great recession — a sort of political Gordon Gekko.

“He was very, very good at making a profit for himself and his partners but not nearly as good [at] saving jobs for communities,” said David Axelrod, the president’s chief strategist.

[….]

“People already knew that he’s a political opportunist of the highest order — changing his positions to suit the day’s polling,” said Bill Burton, Obama’s former White House deputy press secretary who now heads Priorities USA, an independent group expected to lead Democratic attacks on the Republican nominee. “But the last couple weeks, this lack of principles has translated into a total lack of leadership on issues like the debt ceiling.”

Svaret från Mitt Romneys kampanjstab kom snabbt. ABC News rapporterade följande:

 “It is disgraceful that President Obama’s campaign has launched his re-election with the stated goal to ‘kill’ his opponent with an onslaught of negative and personal attacks,” said Romney campaign manager Matt Rhoades in a written statement.

“President Obama will say and do desperate things to hold onto power because he knows he has failed. Neither despicable threats, nor
President Obama’s billion dollar negative campaign, will put Americans back to work, save their homes, or restore their hopes. On November 6, 2012, this will change,” Rhoades said.

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VALRÖRELSEN 2012 kommer troligtvis inte att bli lika enkel för president Barack Obama som många trodde för bara ett år sedan.

Läget i landet har tvingat Barack Obama att förändra alltifrån politisk strategi, mediestrategi och sättet han kommunicerar med de amerikanska väljarna.

John Heilemann skrev om förändringarna redan i januari och med tanke på att ingen – vare sig demokrater, republikaner eller vanlige väljare – har imponerats av uppgörelsen kring skuldtaket är Obama nu i än större behov av en omstart.

Since the midterm elections, Obama and his lieutenants have been grappling with the implications of the self-described “shellacking” inflicted by republicans on the president and his party, and laboring to devise a recovery strategy for the next two years. One of their chief conclusions is that Obama must occupy a higher plane than he did in the last two, elevating himself above the posturing, petulance, and incessant bile-spewing that have come to bedevil Washington in this age of incessant acrimony and polarization.

[…]

But positioning and rhetoric are only part of the broader project under way inside the White House, which amounts to a full-scale reboot of the Obama presidency. The most visible manifestations of this involve personnel […] Beneath the surface, however, substantial changes are afoot in every realm, from management structure and political strategy to communications, policy, and even the president’s conception of his own role—as he and his people try to navigate the newly Republicanized legislative landscape and gear up for what they now fretfully assume (after months of airily believing otherwise) will be a difficult reelection campaign.

[…]

[T]he White House’s troubles fell into three baskets—the first of them labeled “insularity.” […] “I think they felt like if they had listened to conventional wisdom in 2007, they never would have run. When they hear criticism, they say, ‘Been there, done that, we’re gonna stay the course.’ There’s almost a Zen-like quality about how they’ve been in their own universe and their own bubble.”

[…]

The second basket […] had to do with a trap the White House had fallen into of being too tactical and reactive. To some extent, this was the result of the fusillade of crises and imperatives […] that hit the administration in rat-a-tat succession right from the get-go.

[T]hird […] was the failure to use Obama’s gifts as a communicator to full effect. He was overexposed. He was in the weeds. The thread got lost. “With these big legislative fights, he was almost like a prime minister or negotiator-in-chief,” says the same official. “The price for that was, we lost the vision, the inspiration.”

Övrigt: Både citatet och tidskriftsomslaget ovan är från tidskriften New York den 31 januari.

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PÅ MÅNDAG drar demokraterna igång en omfattande kampanj i fyrtiofyra kongressdistrikt som idag hålls av republikaner.

Man kommer att använda sig av radioreklam, automatiserade telefonsamtal (s.k. robocalls), annonsering på anslagstavlor och reklam på bensinpumpar.

Så här kommer de automatiska telefonsamtalen att låta:

Hi, this is [person X] from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee calling about Congressman Sean Duffy’s vote to end Medicare in order to protect millionaires. You’ve paid into Medicare and deserve the Medicare benefits you’ve earned. But while you’re paying $6,400 more for your health care, Big Oil and millionaires will get big tax breaks. That’s not right. Everyone agrees we must cut spending and tighten our belt, but Duffy has made the wrong choice.

Detta är i realiteten en fortsättning på den kampanj som demokraterna drog igång redan under budgetförhandlingarna om skuldtaket.

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INGEN ÄR RIKTIGT nöjd med budgetöverenskommelsen i USA. Och nu börjar striden om hur man skall kunna utnyttja detta politiskt i valkampanjen.

Tydligt är att ytterflankerna i amerikansk politik är de mest upprörda – liberalerna inom demokratiska partiet och Tea Party aktivisterna bland republikanerna.

Även president Barack Obama uttryckte reservationer:

Now, is this the deal I would have preferred? No. I believe that we could have made the tough choices required […] But this compromise does make a serious down payment on the deficit reduction we need, and gives each party a strong incentive to get a balanced plan done before the end of the year.

Most importantly, it will allow us to avoid default and end the crisis that Washington imposed on the rest of America. It ensures also that we will not face this same kind of crisis again in six months, or eight months, or 12 months. And it will begin to lift the cloud of debt and the cloud of uncertainty that hangs over our economy.

Två av de republikanska presidentkandidater som båda vill framstå som ”the adult in the room” – Mitt Romney och Jon Huntsman – har markerat motsatta ståndpunkter till uppgörelsen.

Romney, som har hållit en låg profil under hela förhandlingsrundan, har nu gått ut och markerat hårt mot både Obama och uppgörelsen.

As president, my plan would have produced a budget that was cut, capped and balanced – not one that opens the door to higher taxes and puts defense cuts on the table. President Obama’s leadership failure has pushed the economy to the brink at the eleventh hour and 59th minute. While I appreciate the extraordinarily difficult situation President Obama’s lack of leadership has placed Republican Members of Congress in, I personally cannot support this deal.

Jon Huntsman var betydligt positivare i tonen:

While this framework is not my preferred outcome, it is a positive step toward cutting our nation’s crippling debt.

Han passade även på att ge en känga åt Romney.

While some of my opponents ducked the debate entirely, others would have allowed the nation to slide into default and President Obama refused to offer any plan, I have been proud to stand with congressional Republicans working for these needed and historic cuts. A debt crisis like this is a time for leadership, not a time for waiting to see which way the political winds blow.

Läs mer: Fler kommentarer från de republikanska kandidaterna. President Obamas hela kommentar på YouTube.

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BARACK OBAMA har försökt vara presidentaktig och inta positionen som ”the grown up” i förhandlingarna om budgetunderskottet.

Nu ser det ut som om demokrater och republikaner är överrens och kan rösta på ett gemensamt förslag under måndagen.

(Pat Oliphant den 13 juli 2011. Fler editorial cartoons på GoComics.com.)

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HAR NÅGON av de republikanska presidentkandidaterna någon möjlighet att vinna över Barack Obama?

The Economist anser att chansen finns för en kandidat som anammar ”pragmatic conservative realism”.

In 2008 Mr Obama represented change. This time he will have to fend off charges that he is to blame for the achingly slow recovery by arguing that it would have been worse without his actions, such as his $800 billion stimulus package and the takeover of GM and Chrysler. That may be true but it is not easy to sell a counterfactual on the stump (as the first President Bush learned). And there are other holes in Mr Obama’s record. What happened to his promises to do something about the environment or immigration or Guantánamo? Why should any businessman support a chief executive who has let his friends in the labour movement run amok and who let his health-care bill be written by Democrats in Congress? Above all, why has he never produced a credible plan to tackle the budget deficit, currently close to 10% of GDP?

Asking these questions will surely give any Republican a perch in this race. But to beat the president, the Republicans need both a credible candidate and credible policies.

[…]

In most elections promising toughness is not a successful tactic; but this time Americans know that their country has huge problems and that their nation’s finances are the biggest problem of all. In Britain the Conservatives made the incumbent Gordon Brown seem ridiculous by spelling out the austerity that he at first barely dared mention; now another tough-talking centre-right party has won in Portugal […] If ever there was a time for pragmatic conservative realism, it is now. Mr Obama might also bear that in mind.

Övrigt: Tidskriftsomslaget är från den amerikanska upplagan. Se omslaget till den engelska och europeiska.

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PENGAR: Meg Whitman har spenderat mer på att bli guvernör i Kalifornien än vad Al Gore gjorde för att bli president.

Så här långt har republikanen Whitman pumpat in cirka 120 miljoner dollar av sina egna pengar i sin valkampanj. Till denna summa kan läggas 25 miljoner i donationer.

Men detta har än så länge inte gett någon tydlig effekt i opinionsundersökningarna. Än så länge är det jämt mellan henne och demokraternas Jerry Brown.

Brown har spenderat 4 miljoner dollar (cirka 3 % av Whitmans totala summa) och har fått in ytterligare 30 miljoner.

Vad Whitman dock har lyckats med är att göra sitt namn känt genom att driva en mycket professionell och innovativ valkampanj.

Michael Crowley, Time Magazine, skriver;

Message is important, but a checkbook sure helps — especially in a state as large and expensive as California. […]

A prime example is her effort to reach out to California’s Latino population, estimated at 15% to 20% of the electorate. Faced with long-standing Latino suspicion of California Republicans, Whitman began advertising on Latino television and radio stations months ago. More recently, she has taken the unprecedented step of buying billboards and bus-stop advertisements in Latino communities.

The targeting gets even more specific than ethnicity. The Whitman campaign uses ”microtargeting” software that helps tailor mailings and phone calls to voters on the basis of not just traditional factors like party registration but also polling and purchasable consumer data like magazine subscriptions and car ownership.

Also groundbreaking is a series of interactive television ads Whitman has been airing across the state. During the traditional pitch, a pop-up message appears on viewers’ screens urging them to press a button on their remote control if they want a free Whitman bumper sticker. The cable provider passes along the addresses of viewers who play along — which not only gets them a bumper sticker but also adds valuable new entries into the Whitman campaign’s voter-turnout database.

Läs mer: Time den 11 oktober 2010.

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