Posts Tagged ‘Public Policy Polling’

POLITIK: Samtidigt som det republikanska startfältet inför presidentvalet börjar se alltmer tunt ut växer Barack Obamas opinionssiffror.

Han attackeras både från höger och vänster. Desillusionerade demokrater på vänsterkanten tycker att han gör för lite och högern att han gör för mycket.

Men trots detta – eller kanske tack vare detta – verkar Obama ha funnit en strategi som  fungerar. Andrew Romano på Newsweek skriver:

[O]bama’s agreement with Republicans to slash $38 billion from the 2011 budget […] actually contained less than $25 billion in spending cuts, few of them to cherished Democratic programs. The same day, Public Policy Polling released a survey showing that independents, who backed Republicans 56 percent to 37 percent in 2010, now prefer Democrats 42 percent to 33 percent—a 28-point reversal.

Obama har lyckats placer sig i mitten av den amerikanska opinionen. Ingen dålig utgångspunkt för en president som vill bli omvald.

Hur lyckades Obama med detta?

When Democrats controlled both houses of Congress, the White House’s top priority was simple: getting legislation passed. To accomplish that goal, Obama followed two rules. The first was that he would largely allow the legislative process to run its course before stepping in. […] “Presidents getting involved can actually make things worse,” says [political scientist Frances] Lee.

The second rule was that when Obama did weigh in, he would support the best possible proposal instead of the best imaginable proposal. The White House slashed the stimulus from $1.2 trillion to $787 billion to preempt congressional objections.


Obama’s initial leadership strategy was tailored to a time when Republicans couldn’t torpedo his agenda. In policy terms, the approach paid off, helping him put more points on the board during his first two years—the stimulus package, health-care reform, financial reregulation, and so on—than any president since LBJ.


But now that the GOP controls the House, no laws can pass without Republican support, and no Republicans will support anything the president proposes because they’re afraid it will help him get reelected. This changes the contours of Obama’s pragmatism: in 2009 and 2010, he could champion progressive legislation; in 2011, he can only defend against the GOP’s most objectionable ideas—and position himself to win a second term.

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