LONDON | Förra året avslöjade Birmingham Post hur David Camerons planer för nästa valkampanj såg ut.
Premiärminister David Cameron hoppas att en så kallad 40/40-strategi skall ge Conservative Party egen majoritet efter nästa val.
Jonathan Walker beskrev strategin på följande sätt:
It involves pouring resources into a small number of seats, 40 they need to hold and 40 they need to gain, giving Mr Cameron an overall majority in the general election planned for 2015.
Conservatives won 306 seats in 2010. A minimum of 326 are needed for a bare majority in the Commons, although in practice more would be needed to create a stable government.
I senaste Total Politics intervjuar Rob Wilson, konservativ parlamentsledamot för Reading East, premiärministern.
I put to him that even with the positive circumstances of 2010, the Conservative Party still peaked at only 36 per cent of the vote. The Conservatives didn’t win enough of those blue-collar Tories. Can he win a majority? “I firmly believe we can win a majority, even on the old boundaries,” he says with complete conviction. “The main reason I say that is because people understand that these are difficult times, that this is a government having to take tough decisions, but that we’re making progress – the deficit is down by a third, immigration is down by a third, welfare is being capped. And where is the Labour Party on all of these big issues? Absolutely nowhere. They want more borrowing, more spending and more debt, they opposed our measures to cut immigration, and they oppose capping welfare. So, I think we’re winning the big arguments in politics that people will consider when they are making up their minds in 2015. Now, on top of that, we have the 40/40 strategy, which is how we campaign in the key target areas. Winning the big arguments and having the right campaigning apparatus in place means we can definitely win the election outright.”
Cameron claims that Labour’s performance in the local elections under Ed Miliband compares unfavourably to Michael Foot in 1981 – “And of course we all know what happened to Michael Foot at the subsequent general election.”
This comparison might be a little questionable, considering how open the 2015 general election looks, but, two years away, we know the key themes that Cameron will campaign under. The prime minister lays out the Conservative pitch as “continuing on the road we are on to turn the country round” versus Labour “who will take us back to square one”. In terms that will be very familiar by 2015 he says: “So that is the choice – continue making progress to sort the economy, welfare and immigration, or go back to where we came from with a Labour Party that has learnt none of the right lessons from its mistakes.”
Cameron also has the blue-collar Tories in his sights, as he believes they and others didn’t vote Conservative because they still had doubts about the party. His strategy is to demonstrate to those who work hard, support their families and do the right thing that the government is on their side. He also believes they’ll respond to the fact that the government is stopping the wrong people getting rewarded. “It wasn’t a fair country”, he says, adding, “but we also need to think about making sure the Conservative Party remains broad, open, tolerant and inclusive; we shouldn’t try to find all our votes in one place.”
It appears the frustrations of coalition and slow government will continue to dog a PM desperately keen to deliver for the country. His desire to turn the country around is not in any doubt, but his ability to achieve what he wants still is. He now has two years to focus on delivering what the British people want.
Tidskriftsomslag: Total Politics, juni 2013.